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A hotspot and mechanism of enhanced bottom intrusion on the southern New England shelf

Chen, K. (2024). A hotspot and mechanism of enhanced bottom intrusion on the southern New England shelf. Environmental Research Communications, 6(7). https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad61c7

(a), (d): Composite mean bottom currents (black vectors) and salinity (color) for different stages of the bottom intrusion relative to the maximum salinity anomaly at the Block Trough (the rectangular box): 6 days and 2 days prior to the time of maximum anomaly. Spatial mean bottom velocity vector (within the rectangular box) is shown with magnitude amplified by five times for better visualization. Mean wind stress in the region is shown in blue vectors. (b), (e): Same as (a), (d) but for bottom pressure gradient force with magnitude in color and directions in gray vectors. (c), (f): Estimates of the bottom flow using pressure gradient, stress divergence, and acceleration terms within the trough. The light gray dots represent the geostrophic balance, i.e., using the first term to infer bottom flow. The darker gray represents the contribution of the pressure gradient and stress divergence. The black dots represent the consideration of the additional acceleration term, i.e., all three terms below the x-axis. Color-coded Root Mean Square Difference (RMSD) values are shown. Major balance is between pressure gradient, Coriolis, and bottom stress, with pressure gradient being the driving term. Image provided by Ke Chen.

 

Understanding the occurrence of open ocean water intrusions onto continental shelves holds both scientific significance and societal relevance, as such intrusions can significantly disrupt marine ecosystems and fisheries. Chen (2024) uses high-resolution numerical modeling to investigate the spatiotemporal occurrence and mechanisms of highly anomalous bottom intrusions on the southern New England shelf. Based on multi-year numerical simulations, the study identifies a hotspot of cross-isobath bottom-intensified intrusions at a topographic trough offshore of the Block Island, i.e., Block Trough. The examination of multiple events reveals a robust mechanism for locally enhanced bottom intrusions: persistent upwelling-favorable winds create an intensified pressure gradient field at the trough, driving the intrusions a considerable distance onshore.

Given the results’ implications for the marine environment and fisheries management, the study raises a key prediction question: can these events be predicted based on wind conditions alone? While realistic simulations show a connection between highly anomalous waters on the shelf and wind forcing, the correlation between wind stress anomalies and bottom salinity anomalies at the site of the enhanced intrusion is only modest. This suggests the need to incorporate additional environmental factors to develop more deterministic models for predicting subsurface conditions on the shelf.