Sefton, J. P., Kemp, A. C., Engelhart, S. E., Brain, M. J., Ellison, J. C., Creel, R., Piecuch, C. G., Kopp, R. E., Charley, B., & Lihpai, S. (2026). Mangrove sediments reveal drivers of Late Holocene sea-level change in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Quaternary Science Reviews, 379, 109917. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2026.109917
Image courtesy of Chris Piecuch
Fig. 8. (A) Comparison of global mean sea level curves from the spatial-temporal empirical hierarchical model (STEHM). Solid line and shading represent the mean and 1σ uncertainty. Red curve is the Kemp et al. (2018) iteration, yellow is the Walker et al. (2022) iteration, and blue is from this study. Black line represents the GIA model ensemble median, adjusted to align with this study in 1950 CE due to different temporal baselines (B) STEHM rate of GMSL change from this study. Solid line and shading represent the mean and 1σ uncertainty.