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Estuarine
and Coastal Processes
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and Aquaculture
Environmental
Technology
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Marine
Policy
- 1996-1998
Projects
- 1994-1996 Projects »
Public
Outreach, Education, and Extension Projects
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Marine Policy
1994-1996 Projects
Public Risk Perception and Coastal Flood
Insurance
Yoshiaki Kaoru and Graham S. Giese, Woods Hole Oceanographic
Institution
Coastal storms, sea level rise, and erosion represent continuous
threats of flood damages to coastal residents. To date, most attention
of storm and flood impacts has been devoted to monetary damages
to residential and commercial properties. Flood risk as perceived
by the public has not been systematically investigated, despite
the fact that the public's perception of risk significantly influences
policy decisions. If the risk of coastal flood as perceived by the
public significantly deviates from flood risk estimated by scientists,
policy makers need to decide how to weigh public risk perceptions
or those of scientists in making coastal management policies. This
Sea Grant-supported economic analysis will estimate the flood risk
perception of coastal residents, compare these perceptions with
those of expert scientists, and measure how individual socio-economic
characteristics and flood risk information influence the public's
willingness to pay to insure against future flood damages. The results
of this project will determine the importance of public risk aversion
and lead to better risk communication between the public and scientists
and, as no systematic information about public perception of coastal
flood risk currently exists, the results will be of use to local,
state and federal coastal resource managers.
An Optimal Risk Sharing Strategy for Marine
Oil Transport
Di Jin, Hauke Kite-Powell, and John W. Farrington, Woods Hole
Oceanographic Institution
Under the Oil Pollution Act (OPA) of 1990, oil carriers effectively
face unlimited liability in U.S. waters. Attempts by the U.S. federal
government to implement regulations in keeping with OPA 90 have
led to an impasse as the established marine insurance industry refuses
to back certificates of financial responsibility under OPA 90. All
tankers coming into U.S. ports must have such a certificate. Under
this project, researchers will develop an analytical model, based
on economic theory and a review of relevant factors in environmental
law, damage assessment, and marine insurance, to determine the optimal
level of risk sharing (liability limits) in marine transportation
of oil. Also, researchers will apply the model, using empirical
data on oil transport markets and spill damage assessment, to develop
preliminary guidance regarding an optimal liability limit. This
study will provide analytically defensible suggestions for an economically
optimal level of liability to help resolve this impasse.
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