1998 Lecture Series Schedule

Monday, June 22
10:00 am Neil J. Balmforth, GFD Coordinator, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD
Welcome and Introduction
Edward Spiegel, Columbia University
Introduction

2:30 pm Antonello Provenzale, Instituto di Cosmogeofisica, University of Turin, Italy
Introduction to Dynamical Systems with the Example of a Dust Grain in a Stratified Atmosphere (tutorial)

Tuesday, June 23
10:00 am Antonello Provenzale
Energy Balance Models
The Lorenz 63 Model (derivation)
The Lorenz 84 Model for the Atmosphere

2:00 pm No Lecture

Wednesday, June 24
10:00 am Antonello Provenzale
Time Series Analysis and Phase-Space Reconstruction: the Example of the Light Curve of 3C 345

2:00 pm No Lecture

Thursday, June 25
10:00 am Antonello Provenzale
Driving Chaotic Systems:
Seasonal Forcing in Lorenz 84
Stochastic Driving of a Thermohaline Box Model
Stochastic Resonance

2:00 pm Antonello Provenzale and Edward Spiegel
Coupling Chaotic Systems I:
On-Off Intermittency (including the PST model for the solar dynamo)

Friday, June 26
10:00 am Antonello Provenzale
Coupling Chaotic Systems II:
Analysis of Coupled Lorenz 84 Models
Chaotic Resonance
Synchronization and On-Off Desynchronization

2:00 pm Antonello Provenzale and Lenny Smith
Predictability and Prediction in Dynamical Systems
Predictability of Coupled Systems
Prediction Methods

Monday, June 29
10:00 am Antonello Provenzale, University of Turin, Italy
Extended Systems
Coherent Vortices
The Vortices of 2D Turbulence
Coherent Flux Tubes in 2D-MHD

1:00 pm Charles Tresser, IBM
Transition to Chaos, Part I

Tuesday, June 30
10:00 am Antonello Provenzale
Point Vortices
Chaotic Advection in 2D Flows

1:30 pm Charles Tresser
Transition to Chaos, Part II

Wednesday, July 1
10:00 am Antonello Provenzale
Dynamics of Dust Grains in 2D Flows
A Scenario for the Formation of Planetesimals
Vortices on Keplerian Disks

2:30 pm Charles Tresser
Transition to Chaos, Part III

Thursday, July 2
10:00 am Antonello Provenzale
Density Singularities in Self-Gravitating Systems

2:30 pm Charles Tresser
Transition to Chaos, Part IV

Friday, July 3
10:00 am Discussion of Projects
HAPPY FOURTH OF JULY!

July 6 -- July 10: CLIMATE VARIABILITY

1:30 pm Jim Hurrell
Relationships between recent changes in atmospheric circulation, global warming and satellite temperatures

Tuesday, July 7
10:00 am Eli Tziperman
On ENSO's chaos and phase locking to the seasonal cycle

1:30 pm Eli Tziperman
On the proximity of the THC to an instability threshold

Wednesday, July 8
10:00 am Jochem Marotzke
Abrupt climate change and the thermohaline circulation

1:30 pm Paola Cessi
Coupled dynamics of storm tracks and ocean gyres

Thursday, July 9
10:00 am Martin Visbeck
Climate variability in the extratropical Atlantic

1:15 pm Jason Goodman
A model of decadal middle-latitude atmosphere-ocean coupled modes

2:30 pm Discussion

Friday, July 10
10:00 am Claude Frankignoul
Stochastic approach to climate modelling

July 13 -- July 17

10:30 am Stephen Childress, CIMS
Convection in glycerol

Tuesday, July 14

10:30 am Kevin Prendergast, Columbia
Dwarf ellipticals

2:00 pm P.J. Morrison, UT Austin
Physicist gone bad: Lp solutions of the linear Vlasov-Poisson equation

Wednesday, July 15

2:30 pm Lou "Diamond" Howard, FSU
Special seminar: The missing diamonds are in the plastic bag

Thursday, July 16

10:30 am Philip Yecko, Florida
Strange Cepheid variables

2:30 pm J. Robert Buchler, Florida
Chaos in the music of the spheres

July 20 -- July 24

10:30 am Norm Lebovitz, Chicago
Elliptic instability: nonlinear development

Tuesday, July 21

10:30 am Juergen Kurths, Potsdam
Phase synchronization in chaotic systems

1:30 pm Alastair Rucklidge, DAMTP
Steady state bifurcations of symmetric periodic orbits

Wednesday, July 22

10:30 am Steven Balbus, Virginia
MHD turbulence in disks and other systems

2:30 pm Rainer Hollerbach, Glasgow
Time-dependent Taylor vortices in wide-gap spherical Couette flow

Thursday, July 23

10:30 am Joana Prat, Catalunya
Resonant mode interactions in Rayleigh-Benard convection

12:00 noon GFD Photograph

2:30 pm Ian Melbourne, Houston
Magnetic dynamos in MHD using dynamical systems theory

Friday, July 24

10:30 am Charlie Doering, Michigan
Bounds for heat transport in a porous layer

2:30 pm Michael R.E. Proctor, DAMTP
Noise sensitivity in travelling-wave instabilities

July 27 -- July 31: Redfield Auditorium
"Transport and Mixing in Fluids: The Dynamical Systems Approach"

10:00-11:00 am Christopher Jones
Dynamical Systems Challenges in Assessing Ocean Transport

2:00-2:45 pm Jeffrey B. Weiss
Lagrangian Dynamics in High-Dimensional Point-Vortex Systems

2:45-3:00 pm Coffee break

3:00-3:45 pm Jerry Gollub
Transient Mixing

3:45-4:30 pm Tom Solomon
Experimental Studies of Chaotic Transport

Tuesday, July 28

9:30-10:30 am Ed Ott
Multifractal Properties of Passive Scalar and Vector Fields Convected by Lagrangian Chaotic Flows

1:30-2:15 pm
John Finn
Lagrangian Chaos and the Magnetic Dynamo Problem

Wednesday, July 29

10:00-11:00 am Harry L. Swinney
Anomalous Diffusion and Levy Flights in a Quasi-Geostrophic Flow

2:00-2:45 pm William Young
Horizontal Mixing in the Mixed Layer

2:45-3:00 pm Coffee break

3:00-3:45 pm Patrick Tabeling
Dispersion and Turbulence in 2D Systems

Thursday, July 30

10:00-11:00 am Stephen Wiggins
A Dynamical Systems Approach to Lagrangian Transport in a Double-Gyre

2:00-2:45 pm Vered Rom-Kedar
Chaotic Cooling of a Hot Core

2:45-3:00 pm Coffee break

3:00-3:45 pm Nathan Paldor
Dynamical Systems Approach to Balance Flows

3:45-4:15 pm Michel Speetjens
Mixing in a 3D Cylindrical Container

Friday, July 31

9:30-11:30 am Open discussion
Redfield Auditorium

August 3 -- August 7

Tuesday, August 4
10:30 am Ron Taam
Variability in black hole x-ray binary systems

Wednesday, August 5
10:30 am Peter Goldreich
MHD Turbulence

August 10 -- 14, 1998

Tuesday, August 11
10:30 am Mike Shelley
Modelling the Visual Cortex

Thursday, August 13
10:30 am Joe Keller
Random Problems

2:30 pm Alistair Adcroft
How do ocean models really work?
(or Do ocean models really work???)

Friday, August 14

August 17 -- 21, 1998

August 24 -- 28, 199

 10:30 am Fellow's Lecture
Panayotis Kevrekidis, Rutgers University
What If the World Were Discrete?

2:15 pm Fellow's Lecture
Mark Roulston, California Institute of Technology
Data Assimilation in Chaotic Systems

3:30 pm Fellow's Lecture
Aaron Birch, Stanford University
Spicules?

Tuesday, August 25

10:00 am Fellow's Lecture
Carolyn Mockett, Scripps Inst. of Oceanography, UCSD
Dispersion & Reconstruction

11:15 am Fellow's Lecture
Andy Jacobson, Pennsylvania State University
"Pandora's Lattice"

2:15 pm Fellow's Lecture
Claudia Pasquero, CNR, University of Turin, Italy
Hill's Horseshoes: Chaos in a Forced System

3:30 pm Fellow's Lecture
Sarah Dance, Brown University
Optimal Forecasting, A Toy Model

Wednesday, August 26

10:30 am, Fellow's Lecture
Amy Shen, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Models of Lava Domes

2:15 pm Fellow's Lecture
Andrew Kiss, Australian National University, Australia
Chaos in the "Sliced Cone" Model of Ocean Circulation

3:30 pm Fellow's Lecture
Blanca Gallego, University of California at Los Angeles
Oscillations in the Mid-Latitude Ocean/Atmosphere System